THE ALTERNATIVE
Foster Moreau
TE · HOUStats & schedule ›3.4FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Foster Moreau or Marvin Mims Jr. this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Marvin Mims Jr.
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Marvin Mims Jr. averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Foster Moreau. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Marvin Mims Jr. receives the better positional matchup adjustment (2.5% versus 0%).
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs NYGRESEARCH PICK
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR · DENStats & schedule ›3.7FF projected
↓ -0.7 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Foster Moreau
FF3.4 FP
Boosted Trees2.6 FP
Workload— FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.4 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Marvin Mims Jr.
FF3.7 FP
Boosted Trees4.4 FP
Workload4.2 FP
Monte Carlo4.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.2 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.0 targets and 0.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Foster Moreau
Fortified3.4
ESPN3.1
Sleeper2.6
FantasyPros—
Foster Moreau faces NYG in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.4 fantasy points.
Marvin Mims Jr.
Fortified3.7
ESPN4.4
Sleeper4.0
FantasyPros—
Marvin Mims Jr. faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
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