
Should I start Emmett Johnson or Marvin Mims Jr. this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Emmett Johnson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Emmett Johnson: 2.5 versus 1.2 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

3.8FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Marvin Mims Jr.
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ3.6FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
Sun 4:05 PM ET
Emmett Johnson
FF3.8 FP
Boosted Trees3.9 FP
Workload4.9 FP
Monte Carlo4.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.9 targets and 3.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 carries per game.
Marvin Mims Jr.
FF3.6 FP
Boosted Trees4.4 FP
Workload4.2 FP
Monte Carlo4.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.2 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.0 targets and 0.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Emmett Johnson
Fortified3.8
ESPN4.5
Sleeper3.1
FantasyProsโ
Emmett Johnson faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.5 fantasy points.
Marvin Mims Jr.
Fortified3.6
ESPN4.4
Sleeper3.9
FantasyProsโ
Marvin Mims Jr. faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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