RESEARCH PICK
Emmett Johnson
RB ยท KCStats & schedule โบ3.8FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Should I start Emmett Johnson or Jalen Nailor this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Emmett Johnson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Emmett Johnson: 2.5 versus 0.7 FP per game. Emmett Johnson receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -3.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at SEATHE ALTERNATIVE
Jalen Nailor
WR ยท LVStats & schedule โบ3.4FF projected
โ -1.4 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Emmett Johnson
FF3.8 FP
Boosted Trees3.9 FP
Workload4.9 FP
Monte Carlo4.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.9 targets and 3.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 carries per game.
Jalen Nailor
FF3.4 FP
Boosted Trees4.7 FP
Workload3.1 FP
Monte Carlo3.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Emmett Johnson
Fortified3.8
ESPN4.5
Sleeper3.1
FantasyProsโ
Emmett Johnson faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.5 fantasy points.
Jalen Nailor
Fortified3.4
ESPN4.8
Sleeper3.7
FantasyProsโ
Jalen Nailor faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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