Should I start Emmett Johnson or Tyler Goodson this week? Week 8 Half-PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Emmett Johnson

Week 8 · Half-PPR

Emmett Johnson averaged 3.0 carries per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 1.7 for Tyler Goodson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Emmett Johnson: 3.0 versus 1.7 FP per game.

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:16 AM ET · Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

Emmett Johnson

RB · KCStats & schedule

3.7FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

at DEN

Sun 4:25 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyler Goodson

RB · DALStats & schedule

3.6FF projected

↓ -1.1 vs ESPN

vs ARI

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Emmett Johnson

FF3.7 FP

Boosted Trees3.9 FP

Workload3.9 FP

Monte Carlo4.2 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.1–8.2 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 3.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
The saved workload scenario allocates 2.1 targets and 2.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Rashee Rice; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 carries per game.

Tyler Goodson

FF3.6 FP

Boosted Trees2.7 FP

Workload4.1 FP

Monte Carlo4.1 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.2–8.0 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 0.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 1.7 FP.
The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 4.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include KaVontae Turpin, Emari Demercado; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 carries per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Emmett Johnson

Fortified3.7

ESPN4.1

Sleeper3.7

FantasyPros3.6

Emmett Johnson faces DEN in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points.

Tyler Goodson

Fortified3.6

ESPN4.7

Sleeper4.5

FantasyPros3.5

Tyler Goodson faces ARI in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 1.7 fantasy points.

Emmett Johnson projects for 3.7 points in half-PPR scoring, 0.1 more than Tyler Goodson. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice.

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:16 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.