
Should I start Drew Stevens or Jason Myers this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Jason Myers
Week 9 ยท Half-PPR
Jason Myers has the higher current FF forecast: 8.9 FP versus 8.8 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Jason Myers
K ยท SEAStats & schedule โบDrew Stevens
- Recent scoring average: 11.0 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
Jason Myers
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.3 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 field-goal attempts per game.
Drew Stevens
Drew Stevens faces LAR in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 11.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Jason Myers
Jason Myers faces ARI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
K. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brandon AubreyK ยท DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 10.0FantasyPros 9.210.8Expected FP - 2
Tyler BassK ยท BUF vs MINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 8.29.6Expected FP - 3
Jake BatesK ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 8.79.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 9 decisions
Jason Myers8.9projected FP
Tyler Bass9.6projected FP
Jason Myers8.9projected FP
Will Reichard8.9projected FP
Jason Myers8.9projected FP
Cairo Santos8.8projected FP
Jason Myers8.9projected FP
Matt Gay9.1projected FP
Brandon Aubrey10.8projected FP
Tyler Bass9.6projected FP
Tyler Bass9.6projected FP
Jake Bates9.2projected FP
Jake Bates9.2projected FP
Ka'imi Fairbairn9.2projected FP
Ka'imi Fairbairn9.2projected FP
Matt Gay9.1projected FP
Will Reichard8.9projected FP
Cairo Santos8.8projected FP
Cairo Santos8.8projected FP
Drew Stevens8.8projected FP