RESEARCH PICK
DeVonta Smith
WR · PHIStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Reggie Virgil this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start DeVonta Smith
Week 7 · Half-PPR
DeVonta Smith averaged 11.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 2.5 for Reggie Virgil. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors DeVonta Smith: 17.0 versus 1.9 FP per game. DeVonta Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (6.25% versus -1.25%).
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs DALTHE ALTERNATIVE
Reggie Virgil
WR · ARIStats & schedule ›0.3FF projected
↑ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees13.5 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 17.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 17.0 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Reggie Virgil
FF0.3 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.9 FP.
- The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 2.5 targets per game.
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 17.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. OUT
Reggie Virgil
Fortified0.3
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.3
FantasyPros—
Reggie Virgil faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
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