THE ALTERNATIVE
DeVonta Smith
WR ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Lew Nichols this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Lew Nichols
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Lew Nichols receives the better positional matchup adjustment (10% versus 6.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs DALRESEARCH PICK
Lew Nichols
RB ยท PITStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees13.5 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 17.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 17.0 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Lew Nichols
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Treesโ FP
Workload0.1 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Projection breakdown
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 17.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. OUT
Lew Nichols
Fortified0.2
ESPNโ
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Lew Nichols faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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