THE ALTERNATIVE
Devin Duvernay
WR ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ0.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Devin Duvernay or Zach Ertz this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Zach Ertz
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Zach Ertz averaged 2.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.0 for Devin Duvernay. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Zach Ertz: 1.1 versus 0.0 FP per game. Zach Ertz receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -1.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs DENRESEARCH PICK
Zach Ertz
TE ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Devin Duvernay
FF0.1 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo-0.0 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.0 targets per game.
Zach Ertz
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees-0.7 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Devin Duvernay
Fortified0.1
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.1
FantasyProsโ
Devin Duvernay faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
Zach Ertz
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Zach Ertz faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.1 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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