
Should I start Devaughn Vele or Pat Freiermuth this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Devaughn Vele
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Devaughn Vele averaged 7.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 5.0 for Pat Freiermuth. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

8.3FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 9:30 AM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Pat Freiermuth
TE ยท PITStats & schedule โบ8.7FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 9:30 AM ET
Devaughn Vele
FF8.3 FP
Boosted Trees8.0 FP
Workload7.9 FP
Monte Carlo7.8 FP
- Recent scoring average: 8.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 6.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.0 targets per game.
Pat Freiermuth
FF8.7 FP
Boosted Trees7.0 FP
Workload6.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.1 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.6 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Devaughn Vele
Fortified8.3
ESPN8.2
Sleeper8.2
FantasyProsโ
Devaughn Vele faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.2 fantasy points.
Pat Freiermuth
Fortified8.7
ESPN8.3
Sleeper8.0
FantasyProsโ
Pat Freiermuth faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
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