THE ALTERNATIVE
Dean Connors
RB · LARStats & schedule ›0.1FF projected
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Dean Connors or Kaleb Johnson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Kaleb Johnson
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Kaleb Johnson: 1.5 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
at LVRESEARCH PICK
Kaleb Johnson
RB · GBStats & schedule ›0.2FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Dean Connors
FF0.1 FP
Boosted Trees— FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Puka Nacua; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Kaleb Johnson
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Trees-0.2 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 1.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 carries per game.
Dean Connors
Fortified0.1
ESPN—
Sleeper0.1
FantasyPros—
Dean Connors faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Kaleb Johnson
Fortified0.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.2
FantasyPros—
Kaleb Johnson faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points.
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