RESEARCH PICK
Darnell Mooney
WR · NYGStats & schedule ›3.4FF projected
↓ -1.0 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Darnell Mooney or Noah Gray this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Darnell Mooney
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Darnell Mooney averaged 3.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 3.0 for Noah Gray. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Darnell Mooney receives the better positional matchup adjustment (5% versus -6.25%).
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
at HOUTHE ALTERNATIVE
Noah Gray
TE · KCStats & schedule ›3.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Darnell Mooney
FF3.4 FP
Boosted Trees4.5 FP
Workload3.8 FP
Monte Carlo3.7 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.1 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.7 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF3.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.7 FP
Workload4.7 FP
Monte Carlo4.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Darnell Mooney
Fortified3.4
ESPN4.4
Sleeper2.6
FantasyPros—
Darnell Mooney faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Noah Gray
Fortified3.1
ESPN3.0
Sleeper3.2
FantasyPros—
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
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