THE ALTERNATIVE
Dare Ogunbowale
RB ยท HOUStats & schedule โบ4.6FF projected
โ -1.2 vs ESPN
vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Dare Ogunbowale or Jake Ferguson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jake Ferguson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Jake Ferguson: 2.8 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs NYGRESEARCH PICK
Jake Ferguson
TE ยท DALStats & schedule โบ4.9FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
at PHIMon 8:15 PM ET
Dare Ogunbowale
FF4.6 FP
Boosted Trees3.2 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.0 carries per game.
Jake Ferguson
FF4.9 FP
Boosted Trees5.1 FP
Workload4.0 FP
Monte Carlo4.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Dare Ogunbowale
Fortified4.6
ESPN5.7
Sleeper5.7
FantasyProsโ
Dare Ogunbowale faces NYG in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Jake Ferguson
Fortified4.9
ESPN4.6
Sleeper6.3
FantasyProsโ
Jake Ferguson faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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