
Should I start Chris Godwin Jr. or T.J. Hockenson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Chris Godwin Jr.
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Chris Godwin Jr. after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

8.4FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

T.J. Hockenson
TE ยท MINStats & schedule โบ8.3FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Chris Godwin Jr.
FF8.4 FP
Boosted Trees8.3 FP
Workload10.6 FP
Monte Carlo10.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 5.8 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
T.J. Hockenson
FF8.3 FP
Boosted Trees6.7 FP
Workload8.2 FP
Monte Carlo8.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Chris Godwin Jr.
Fortified8.4
ESPN8.6
Sleeper9.1
FantasyProsโ
Chris Godwin Jr. faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
T.J. Hockenson
Fortified8.3
ESPN8.1
Sleeper7.9
FantasyProsโ
T.J. Hockenson faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.8 fantasy points.
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