RESEARCH PICK
Chris Godwin Jr.
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ8.4FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Chris Godwin Jr. or Kyle Pitts Sr. this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Chris Godwin Jr.
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Chris Godwin Jr. averaged 6.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 5.3 for Kyle Pitts Sr.. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Chris Godwin Jr. receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-2.5% versus -7.5%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at CARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Kyle Pitts Sr.
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ8.3FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Chris Godwin Jr.
FF8.4 FP
Boosted Trees8.3 FP
Workload10.6 FP
Monte Carlo10.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 5.8 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
FF8.3 FP
Boosted Trees6.3 FP
Workload7.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.1 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Chris Godwin Jr.
Fortified8.4
ESPN8.6
Sleeper9.1
FantasyProsโ
Chris Godwin Jr. faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fortified8.3
ESPN7.9
Sleeper7.5
FantasyProsโ
Kyle Pitts Sr. faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
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