Fortified Fantasy

Week 92026 ยท Half-PPR ยท THIS WEEK

Should I start Chig Okonkwo or Greg Dulcich this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Greg Dulcich

+1.5 projected edge ยท Half-PPR

Start Greg Dulcich over Chig Okonkwo for Week 9 Half-PPR: 8.0 projected points versus 6.5.

  • Chig Okonkwo: 6.3 FP recent scoring average; 2.5% matchup reduction against LAR.
  • Greg Dulcich: 8.7 FP recent scoring average; 10% matchup lift against DET.

Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

Greg Dulcich
Why this pick?

Greg Dulcich

Fortified8.0
ESPN7.0
Sleeper6.5
FantasyPros7.6
Boosted TreesExperimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET5.7

Greg Dulcich faces DET in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 8.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.

Chig Okonkwo

Fortified6.5
ESPN7.3
Sleeper6.5
FantasyPros6.4
Boosted TreesExperimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET5.5

Chig Okonkwo faces LAR in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 6.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.

Greg Dulcich projects for 8.0 points in half-PPR scoring, 1.5 more than Chig Okonkwo. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 10:05 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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#1 Week ยท #1 ROS ยท #1 Playoffs
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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian ยท when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%โ— ESPNโ— Sleeperโ— FantasyPros
3 shown ยท common FP scale
10.815.3
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.2Expected FP
  2. 2
    George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  3. 3
    Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โ€“P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

See full TE rankings โ†—

YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK

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Compare another option for the same lineup decision. These are Start/Sit decisions for players you already own. Availability and scoring can change the call.

Dallas Goedert or Chig Okonkwo? โ†—

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Still need a replacement?

Waiver timing varies by league. Check your deadline before placing a claim.

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