
Should I start Charlie Woerner or Kaleb Johnson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Charlie Woerner
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Charlie Woerner after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

0.6FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Kaleb Johnson
RB ยท GBStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Charlie Woerner
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.0 FP
Workload0.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Kaleb Johnson
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Trees-0.2 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.3 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 1.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Woerner
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.6
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Woerner faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Kaleb Johnson
Fortified0.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Kaleb Johnson faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points.
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