
Should I start Charlie Woerner or Justin Joly this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Charlie Woerner
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Charlie Woerner after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

0.6FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Justin Joly
TE ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Woerner
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.0 FP
Workload0.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Justin Joly
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.3 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.1 FP
- The NYJ defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Woerner
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.6
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Woerner faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Justin Joly
Fortified0.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.4
FantasyProsโ
Justin Joly faces NYJ in Week 7. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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