RESEARCH PICK
Caleb Lohner
TE · DENStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Caleb Lohner or DeVonta Smith this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Caleb Lohner
Week 7 · Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Caleb Lohner after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
at ARITHE ALTERNATIVE
DeVonta Smith
WR · PHIStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Caleb Lohner
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees— FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- INJURY_RESERVE
DeVonta Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees13.5 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 17.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 17.0 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- OUT
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 targets per game.
Caleb Lohner
Fortified0.0
ESPN—
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
Caleb Lohner faces ARI in Week 7. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%. INJURY_RESERVE
DeVonta Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
DeVonta Smith faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 17.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%. OUT
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