THE ALTERNATIVE
Bo Nix
QB ยท DENStats & schedule โบ16.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Bo Nix or Kirk Cousins this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Kirk Cousins
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Kirk Cousins averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 32.0 for Bo Nix. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Kirk Cousins: 18.3 versus 8.7 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at ARIRESEARCH PICK
Kirk Cousins
QB ยท LVStats & schedule โบ15.9FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Bo Nix
FF16.1 FP
Boosted Trees14.6 FP
Workload13.9 FP
Monte Carlo13.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.7 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 32.0 pass attempts per game.
Kirk Cousins
FF15.9 FP
Boosted Trees15.4 FP
Workload16.4 FP
Monte Carlo16.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 18.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 18.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 40.3 pass attempts per game.
Projection breakdown
Bo Nix
Fortified16.1
ESPN16.1
Sleeper18.7
FantasyProsโ
Bo Nix faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Kirk Cousins
Fortified15.9
ESPN16.4
Sleeper15.0
FantasyProsโ
Kirk Cousins faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 18.3 fantasy points.
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