
Should I start Blake Corum or Ladd McConkey this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Ladd McConkey
+0.5 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Ladd McConkey over Blake Corum for Week 9 Half-PPR: 9.6 projected points versus 9.0.
- Blake Corum: 14.3 FP recent scoring average; 3.75% matchup reduction against WAS.
- Ladd McConkey: 6.4 FP recent scoring average; 5% matchup lift against HOU.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Blake Corum
RB ยท LARStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Ladd McConkey
Ladd McConkey faces HOU in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 6.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Blake Corum
Blake Corum faces WAS in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 14.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Blake Corum and Ladd McConkey?
Ladd McConkey holds a 0.5 FP projected edge over Blake Corum. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
The available estimates disagree: ESPN leans toward Blake Corum, while Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees lean toward Ladd McConkey. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Blake Corum
Blake Corum has a 9.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR at WAS. His recorded recent scoring average is 14.3 FP, putting this forecast 5.3 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.
Ladd McConkey
Ladd McConkey has a 9.6 FP forecast in Half-PPR against HOU. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.4 FP, putting this forecast 3.2 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 5%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Blake Corum | Ladd McConkey | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 9.2 FP | 8.8 FP | Blake Corum +0.4 |
| Sleeper | 6.9 FP | 10.7 FP | Ladd McConkey +3.8 |
| FantasyPros | 8.2 FP | 9.2 FP | Ladd McConkey +0.9 |
| Boosted Trees | 7.4 FP | 8.7 FP | Ladd McConkey +1.3 |
Before the first kickoff. Blake Corum: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Ladd McConkey: Sun 4:05 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท Half-PPR
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.2Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 23.725.1Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.0Sleeper 21.2FantasyPros 20.021.1Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.5Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 19.620.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Ladd McConkey9.6projected FP
Parker Washington11.1projected FP
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Jaylen Waddle9.6projected FP
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Michael Wilson9.7projected FP
Ladd McConkey9.6projected FP
Stefon Diggs9.7projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs25.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Kenneth Walker III20.5projected FP
Christian McCaffrey20.0projected FP
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Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.7projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.2projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Javonte Williams16.8projected FP
Kyren Williams15.9projected FP
Tre Tucker
Blake Corum