RESEARCH PICK
Ashton Jeanty
RB · LVStats & schedule ›15.0FF projected
↓ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Tetairoa McMillan this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ashton Jeanty
Week 7 · Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Ashton Jeanty after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs LARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CARStats & schedule ›15.5FF projected
↑ +2.5 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Ashton Jeanty
FF15.0 FP
Boosted Trees14.2 FP
Workload14.6 FP
Monte Carlo16.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 12.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 12.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 14.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 carries per game.
Tetairoa McMillan
FF15.5 FP
Boosted Trees13.5 FP
Workload12.9 FP
Monte Carlo12.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 24.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 24.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 10.0 targets per game.
Ashton Jeanty
Fortified15.0
ESPN15.2
Sleeper14.1
FantasyPros—
Ashton Jeanty faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.9 fantasy points.
Tetairoa McMillan
Fortified15.5
ESPN13.0
Sleeper11.7
FantasyPros—
Tetairoa McMillan faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 24.9 fantasy points.
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