THE ALTERNATIVE
Ashton Dulin
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ1.6FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Ashton Dulin or Drew Sample this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Drew Sample
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Drew Sample receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -5%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Drew Sample
TE ยท CINStats & schedule โบ1.9FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Ashton Dulin
FF1.6 FP
Boosted Trees0.6 FP
Workload2.0 FP
Monte Carlo2.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.4 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.2 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Drew Sample
FF1.9 FP
Boosted Trees2.2 FP
Workload1.6 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ashton Dulin
Fortified1.6
ESPN1.6
Sleeper0.4
FantasyProsโ
Ashton Dulin faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Drew Sample
Fortified1.9
ESPN1.9
Sleeper2.3
FantasyProsโ
Drew Sample faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.5 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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