
Should I start Antonio Williams or Malachi Fields this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Antonio Williams
+0.5 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Antonio Williams over Malachi Fields for Week 9 Half-PPR: 6.8 projected points versus 6.2.
- Antonio Williams: 7.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Antonio Williams: 1.25% matchup reduction against LAR.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Malachi Fields
WR ยท NYGStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Antonio Williams
Antonio Williams faces LAR in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 7.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
Malachi Fields
Malachi Fields faces PHI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 6.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.6Sleeper 20.5FantasyPros 20.020.9Expected FP - 2
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.9Sleeper 19.0FantasyPros 19.720.3Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 16.617.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
More decisions involving your players
More Week 9 decisions
Antonio Williams6.8projected FP
KC Concepcion Jr.8.1projected FP
Antonio Williams6.8projected FP
Makai Lemon6.8projected FP
Antonio Williams6.8projected FP
Jahan Dotson6.8projected FP
Antonio Williams6.8projected FP
Chris Godwin Jr.6.6projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba20.9projected FP
Puka Nacua20.3projected FP
Puka Nacua20.3projected FP
CeeDee Lamb17.5projected FP
CeeDee Lamb17.5projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase17.2projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase17.2projected FP
Tee Higgins17.0projected FP
Tee Higgins17.0projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown16.4projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown16.4projected FP
Malik Nabers15.4projected FP