RESEARCH PICK
Alvin Kamara
RB ยท NOStats & schedule โบ7.6FF projected
โ +1.0 vs ESPN
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Alvin Kamara or Ryan Flournoy this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Alvin Kamara
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Alvin Kamara: 11.9 versus 9.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs PITTHE ALTERNATIVE
Ryan Flournoy
WR ยท DALStats & schedule โบ7.8FF projected
โ +0.6 vs ESPN
at PHIMon 8:15 PM ET
Alvin Kamara
FF7.6 FP
Boosted Trees5.2 FP
Workload7.3 FP
Monte Carlo7.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 11.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 11.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.1 targets and 5.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.7 carries per game.
Ryan Flournoy
FF7.8 FP
Boosted Trees6.0 FP
Workload6.4 FP
Monte Carlo6.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.9 FP.
- The PHI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Alvin Kamara
Fortified7.6
ESPN6.6
Sleeper6.6
FantasyProsโ
Alvin Kamara faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.9 fantasy points.
Ryan Flournoy
Fortified7.8
ESPN7.1
Sleeper5.6
FantasyProsโ
Ryan Flournoy faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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