Should I start AJ Dillon or Josh Downs this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Josh Downs

+4.3 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Josh Downs over AJ Dillon for Week 7 Half-PPR: 6.6 projected points versus 2.3.

AJ Dillon: 1.2 FP recent scoring average; 7.5% matchup reduction against TB.
Josh Downs: 5.3 FP recent scoring average; 5% matchup reduction against MIN.

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:47 AM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Josh Downs

WR · INDStats & schedule

6.6FF projected

↑ +0.2 vs ESPN

at MIN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

AJ Dillon

RB · CARStats & schedule

2.3FF projected

↓ -0.6 vs ESPN

vs TB

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Josh Downs

Fortified6.6

ESPN6.4

Sleeper7.4

FantasyPros—

Josh Downs faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.

AJ Dillon

Fortified2.3

ESPN3.0

Sleeper2.2

FantasyPros—

AJ Dillon faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.

Josh Downs projects for 6.6 points in half-PPR scoring, 4.3 more than AJ Dillon. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:47 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Actuals, projections & playoff outlook

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.