Who should I pick up: Malik Willis or Matthew Stafford?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

Too close for a points-only pickup

Malik Willis and Matthew Stafford are effectively tied for Week 8. Your open slot, bye coverage and how long you plan to keep the pickup should decide this one.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 1:04 PM ET · Common scoring preset

THE ALTERNATIVE

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · vs NE

Stats & schedule ›

16.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

9.8%rostered on ESPN+0.58 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · vs LAC

Stats & schedule ›

16.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET

92.1%rostered on ESPN-0.09 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

This comparison needs more than the headline projection. Malik Willis is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a QB vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Malik Willis

Malik Willis projects for 16.6 Standard points against NE this week. His recent scoring average is 22.4 FP. He is rostered in 9.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.58 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 16.6 FP
ESPN: 16.2 FP
Sleeper: 13.5 FP
FantasyPros: 15.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 12.8 FP
Workload: 15.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 15.1 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 6.3–24.5 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford projects for 16.6 Standard points against LAC this week. His recent scoring average is 20.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 92.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.09 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 16.6 FP
ESPN: 16.9 FP
Sleeper: 14.9 FP
FantasyPros: 17.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 17.0 FP
Workload: 16.2 FP
Monte Carlo: 16.1 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 6.8–26.0 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET / Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Malik Willis	Matthew Stafford
Next 3 weeks	52.5 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	56.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	185.6 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	165.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	65.9 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	62.8 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Malik Willis	Matthew Stafford
Week 8	16.6 FPvs NE	16.6 FPvs LAC
Week 9	19.3 FPvs DET	19.4 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 10	16.6 FPvs IND	20.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 11	18.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	16.8 FPvs NYJHigher projection	15.5 FPvs GB
Week 13	15.3 FPvs DENHigher projection	14.7 FPvs KC
Week 14	17.0 FPvs CHIHigher projection	15.9 FPvs SF
Week 15	15.3 FPvs GB	19.1 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 16	16.1 FPvs LACHigher projection	14.0 FPvs SEA
Week 17	18.3 FPvs BUFHigher projection	15.6 FPvs TB
Week 18	16.3 FPvs NEHigher projection	14.1 FPvs SEA

Outlook updated Oct 30, 1:16 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · QB

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

20.5 FP24.6 FP

Drake MayeQB · 98.9% rostered
23.2
Josh AllenQB · 99.9% rostered
23.0
Joe BurrowQB · 98.7% rostered
22.3
Jayden DanielsQB · 95.0% rostered
21.7
Lamar JacksonQB · 98.7% rostered
21.5

More QB pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

QB · Week 8