Who should I pick up: Jacoby Brissett or Kyler Murray?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

Too close for a points-only pickup

Jacoby Brissett and Kyler Murray are effectively tied for Week 8. Your open slot, bye coverage and how long you plan to keep the pickup should decide this one.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 12:12 PM ET · Common scoring preset

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jacoby Brissett

QB · ARI · vs DAL

Stats & schedule ›

18.5FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

23.1%rostered on ESPN+0.55 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · vs DET

Stats & schedule ›

18.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

60.3%rostered on ESPN+0.36 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

This comparison needs more than the headline projection. Jacoby Brissett is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a QB vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett projects for 18.5 Standard points against DAL this week. His recent scoring average is 15.9 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 23.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.55 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.5 FP
ESPN: 15.6 FP
Sleeper: 18.4 FP
FantasyPros: 18.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 17.0 FP
Workload: 14.5 FP
Monte Carlo: 15.6 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 6.8–25.1 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray projects for 18.6 Standard points against DET this week. His recent scoring average is 16.1 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 60.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.36 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.6 FP
ESPN: 17.3 FP
Sleeper: 16.9 FP
FantasyPros: 16.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.8 FP
Workload: 16.4 FP
Monte Carlo: 17.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 7.8–29.0 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 11:30 AM ET / Oct 30, 11:30 AM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Jacoby Brissett	Kyler Murray
Next 3 weeks	42.6 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	51.0 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	151.8 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	181.6 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	63.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	71.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Jacoby Brissett	Kyler Murray
Week 8	18.5 FPvs DAL	18.6 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 9	10.9 FPvs SEA	18.6 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 10	13.2 FPvs LAR	13.9 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 11	11.9 FPvs KC	14.2 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 12	18.6 FPvs WASHigher projection	15.0 FPvs ATL
Week 13	15.1 FPvs PHI	15.3 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 14	BYE	14.8 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 15	15.8 FPvs NYJ	20.1 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	15.5 FPvs NO	18.9 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	18.7 FPvs LVHigher projection	15.8 FPvs NYJ
Week 18	13.8 FPvs SF	16.3 FPvs CHIHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 30, 12:32 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · QB

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

20.5 FP24.6 FP

Drake MayeQB · 98.9% rostered
23.3
Josh AllenQB · 99.9% rostered
23.0
Joe BurrowQB · 98.7% rostered
22.3
Jayden DanielsQB · 95.0% rostered
21.6
Lamar JacksonQB · 98.7% rostered
21.5

More QB pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

QB · Week 8

Jayden Daniels21.2projected FP