Who should I pick up: Justin Herbert or Tanner McKee?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Tanner McKee

If both are available and you need Week 8 points, pick up Tanner McKee over Justin Herbert: 13.8 versus 12.6 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 11:56 AM ET · Common scoring preset

THE ALTERNATIVE

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · vs LAR

Stats & schedule ›

12.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET

35.1%rostered on ESPN-0.94 pp recent change

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Tanner McKee

QB · PHI · vs WAS

Stats & schedule ›

13.8FF projected FP

Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET

4.5%rostered on ESPN-0.23 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Tanner McKee is the stronger immediate points option. Tanner McKee is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a QB vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert projects for 12.6 Standard points against LAR this week. His recent scoring average is 9.5 FP. He is rostered in 35.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.94 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 12.6 FP
ESPN: 10.9 FP
Sleeper: 12.7 FP
FantasyPros: 14.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.3 FP
Workload: 11.0 FP
Monte Carlo: 10.7 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 4.5–17.3 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Tanner McKee

Tanner McKee projects for 13.8 Standard points against WAS this week. His recent scoring average is 11.6 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 4.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.23 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.8 FP
ESPN: 12.4 FP
Sleeper: 13.2 FP
FantasyPros: 12.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 13.3 FP
Workload: 12.2 FP
Monte Carlo: 14.1 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 5.9–23.1 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 11:30 AM ET / Oct 30, 11:30 AM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Justin Herbert	Tanner McKee
Next 3 weeks	39.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	25.7 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	143.6 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	123.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	50.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	45.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Justin Herbert	Tanner McKee
Week 8	12.6 FPvs LAR	13.8 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 9	13.5 FPvs HOUHigher projection	11.9 FPvs NYG
Week 10	13.0 FPvs BALHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	13.8 FPvs NYJHigher projection	10.8 FPvs PIT
Week 12	13.1 FPvs NE	14.0 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 13	11.9 FPvs TB	15.5 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 14	15.6 FPvs LVHigher projection	12.5 FPvs IND
Week 15	12.4 FPvs SFHigher projection	9.4 FPvs SEA
Week 16	15.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection	12.5 FPvs HOU
Week 17	11.1 FPvs KCHigher projection	11.0 FPvs SF
Week 18	11.3 FPvs DEN	12.1 FPvs NYGHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 30, 12:10 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · QB

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

20.5 FP24.6 FP

Drake MayeQB · 98.9% rostered
23.3
Josh AllenQB · 99.9% rostered
23.0
Joe BurrowQB · 98.7% rostered
22.3
Jayden DanielsQB · 95.0% rostered
21.6
Lamar JacksonQB · 98.7% rostered
21.5

What about Tanner McKee versus these pickups?

QB · Week 8

Sam Darnold15.2projected FP

Tanner McKee13.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 8

Patrick Mahomes II14.3projected FP

Tanner McKee13.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 8

Tanner McKee13.8projected FP

Baker Mayfield13.7projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 8

Tanner McKee13.8projected FP

Deshaun Watson13.0projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More QB pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

QB · Week 8