Who should I pick up: Cairo Santos or Wil Lutz?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Wil Lutz

If both are available and you need Week 8 points, pick up Wil Lutz over Cairo Santos: 7.7 versus 7.0 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 2:23 PM ET · Common scoring preset

THE ALTERNATIVE

Cairo Santos

K · CHI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

7.0FF projected FP

Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET

25.4%rostered on ESPN+0.16 pp recent change

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

7.7FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

5.0%rostered on ESPN+0.10 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Wil Lutz is the stronger immediate points option. Wil Lutz is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a K vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Cairo Santos

Cairo Santos projects for 7.0 Standard points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 7.3 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 25.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.16 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.0 FP
ESPN: 8.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.3 FP
FantasyPros: 6.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.6 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.3–16.1 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 7.7 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 10.3 FP. He is rostered in 5.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.10 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.7 FP
ESPN: 8.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.1 FP
FantasyPros: 6.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.5–15.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET / Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Cairo Santos	Wil Lutz
Next 3 weeks	16.4 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	15.8 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	81.3 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	81.8 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	31.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	32.8 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Cairo Santos	Wil Lutz
Week 8	7.0 FPvs SEA	7.7 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 9	9.4 FPvs TBHigher projection	8.1 FPvs CAR
Week 10	BYE	BYE
Week 11	8.7 FPvs NOHigher projection	8.4 FPvs LV
Week 12	7.8 FPvs DET	8.4 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 13	8.5 FPvs JACHigher projection	8.4 FPvs MIA
Week 14	8.5 FPvs MIAHigher projection	7.9 FPvs NYJ
Week 15	8.5 FPvs BUFHigher projection	8.2 FPvs LV
Week 16	7.8 FPvs GB	8.4 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 17	7.9 FPvs DET	8.0 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 18	7.3 FPvs MIN	8.2 FPvs LACHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 30, 2:31 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.8 FP11.1 FP

Will ReichardK · 93.2% rostered
10.1
Tyler BassK · 60.8% rostered
10.1
Chris BoswellK · 78.5% rostered
10.0
Brandon AubreyK · 96.3% rostered
9.8
Spencer ShraderK · 86.4% rostered
9.5

What about Wil Lutz versus these pickups?

K · Week 8

Tyler Loop7.9projected FP

Wil Lutz7.7projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Harrison Butker7.8projected FP

Wil Lutz7.7projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Wil Lutz7.7projected FP

Jake Bates7.4projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Wil Lutz7.7projected FP

Jason Sanders7.9projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More K pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

K · Week 8