Who should I pick up: Pat Freiermuth or Tyler Allgeier?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Pat Freiermuth

If both are available and you need Week 8 points in a FLEX slot, pick up Pat Freiermuth over Tyler Allgeier: 8.6 versus 7.7 projected FP in PPR. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Oct 31, 2:49 PM ET · PPR

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Pat Freiermuth

TE · PIT · vs CLE

Stats & schedule ›

8.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

49.0%rostered on ESPN-0.65 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs DAL

Stats & schedule ›

7.7FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

46.9%rostered on ESPN-0.65 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Pat Freiermuth is the stronger immediate points option. Tyler Allgeier is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. These players share FLEX eligibility; check whether you also need one of them in a dedicated RB, WR or TE slot. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth projects for 8.6 PPR points against CLE this week. His recent scoring average is 9.5 FP. He is rostered in 49.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.65 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.6 FP
ESPN: 8.5 FP
Sleeper: 9.3 FP
FantasyPros: 8.6 FP
FF median: 7.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.0 FP
Workload: 7.1 FP
Monte Carlo: 7.1 FP

FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 2.5–13.1 FP · middle 80%: -0.4–19.3 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: -0.3–15.8 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier projects for 7.7 PPR points against DAL this week. His recent scoring average is 5.8 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 46.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.65 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.7 FP
ESPN: 8.0 FP
Sleeper: 8.3 FP
FantasyPros: 7.5 FP
FF median: 2.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.5 FP
Workload: 6.9 FP
Monte Carlo: 4.5 FP

FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 0.0–7.5 FP · middle 80%: 0.0–12.6 FP · availability-conditional MC; separate from the FF mean. Prospective coverage is collecting.
Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.0–12.6 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 31, 2:30 PM ET / Oct 31, 2:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Pat Freiermuth	Tyler Allgeier
Next 3 weeks	18.0 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	19.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	90.7 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	68.6 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	37.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	29.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Pat Freiermuth	Tyler Allgeier
Week 8	8.6 FPvs CLEHigher projection	7.7 FPvs DAL
Week 9	BYE	5.7 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 10	9.3 FPvs CINHigher projection	6.4 FPvs LAR
Week 11	8.9 FPvs PHIHigher projection	6.2 FPvs KC
Week 12	8.5 FPvs DENHigher projection	6.9 FPvs WAS
Week 13	8.9 FPvs HOUHigher projection	6.7 FPvs PHI
Week 14	9.3 FPvs JACHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	9.4 FPvs BALHigher projection	6.9 FPvs NYJ
Week 16	9.0 FPvs CARHigher projection	7.9 FPvs NO
Week 17	9.2 FPvs TENHigher projection	7.9 FPvs LV
Week 18	9.4 FPvs BALHigher projection	6.3 FPvs SF

Outlook updated Oct 31, 3:02 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · FLEX

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

1.1 FP21.7 FP

Keenan AllenWR · 41.8% rostered
10.8
Caleb DouglasWR · 28.7% rostered
10.7
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · 54.1% rostered
10.7
Brenton StrangeTE · 49.1% rostered
10.6
DeMario DouglasWR · 47.6% rostered
10.5

What about Pat Freiermuth versus these pickups?

TE · Week 8

Mason Taylor9.4projected FP

Pat Freiermuth8.6projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗TE · Week 8

Chig Okonkwo8.6projected FP

Pat Freiermuth8.6projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗FLEX · Week 8

Keon Coleman8.7projected FP

Pat Freiermuth8.6projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗FLEX · Week 8

Pat Freiermuth8.6projected FP

Rico Dowdle8.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More FLEX pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

WR · Week 8

Caleb Douglas10.7projected FP