Who should I pick up: Josh Downs or KC Concepcion Jr.?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

THE PICKUP CALL

Too close for a points-only pickup

Josh Downs and KC Concepcion Jr. are effectively tied for Week 8. Your open slot, bye coverage and how long you plan to keep the pickup should decide this one.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 12:34 PM ET · PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Josh Downs

WR · IND · vs JAC

Stats & schedule ›

10.1FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

63.5%rostered on ESPN-0.38 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

KC Concepcion Jr.

WR · CLE · vs PIT

Stats & schedule ›

10.1FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

58.8%rostered on ESPN+1.94 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

This comparison needs more than the headline projection. KC Concepcion Jr. is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a WR vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Josh Downs

Josh Downs projects for 10.1 PPR points against JAC this week. His recent scoring average is 6.7 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 63.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.38 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 10.1 FP
ESPN: 8.4 FP
Sleeper: 10.2 FP
FantasyPros: 9.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.1 FP
Workload: 6.8 FP
Monte Carlo: 7.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.7–14.7 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

KC Concepcion Jr.

KC Concepcion Jr. projects for 10.1 PPR points against PIT this week. His recent scoring average is 10.9 FP. He is rostered in 58.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 1.94 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 10.1 FP
ESPN: 10.1 FP
Sleeper: 10.2 FP
FantasyPros: 10.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.0 FP
Workload: 9.5 FP
Monte Carlo: 9.6 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 1.0–18.7 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET / Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Josh Downs	KC Concepcion Jr.
Next 3 weeks	28.9 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	32.0 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	89.8 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	106.7 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	34.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	42.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Josh Downs	KC Concepcion Jr.
Week 8	10.1 FPvs JAC	10.1 FPvs PIT
Week 9	10.3 FPvs DAL	10.7 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 10	8.5 FPvs MIA	11.3 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 11	9.0 FPvs HOUHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	8.4 FPvs NYG	11.3 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	10.7 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 14	8.8 FPvs PHI	10.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 15	8.9 FPvs TEN	10.5 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 16	8.7 FPvs CIN	10.5 FPvs BALHigher projection
Week 17	8.0 FPvs CLE	10.5 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 18	9.1 FPvs JAC	10.7 FPvs CINHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 30, 12:46 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · WR

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.4 FP12.6 FP

DeMario DouglasWR · 44.8% rostered
10.6
Makai LemonWR · 39.6% rostered
10.5
Malik WashingtonWR · 37.5% rostered
10.4
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · 52.7% rostered
10.4
Khalil ShakirWR · 60.0% rostered
10.3

More WR pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

WR · Week 8