Who should I pick up: Dylan Sampson or Jake Ferguson?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Dylan Sampson

If both are available and you need Week 8 points in a FLEX slot, pick up Dylan Sampson over Jake Ferguson: 6.3 versus 5.5 projected FP in Half-PPR. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 2:05 PM ET · Half-PPR

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLE · vs PIT

Stats & schedule ›

6.3FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

10.8%rostered on ESPN+0.37 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

5.5FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

47.7%rostered on ESPN-1.19 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Dylan Sampson is the stronger immediate points option. Dylan Sampson is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. These players share FLEX eligibility; check whether you also need one of them in a dedicated RB, WR or TE slot. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson projects for 6.3 Half-PPR points against PIT this week. His recent scoring average is 9.2 FP. He is rostered in 10.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.37 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 6.3 FP
ESPN: 5.5 FP
Sleeper: 5.6 FP
FantasyPros: 5.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 4.0 FP
Workload: 4.7 FP
Monte Carlo: 4.5 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.9–9.0 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson projects for 5.5 Half-PPR points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 1.9 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 47.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 1.19 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 5.5 FP
ESPN: 4.4 FP
Sleeper: 8.0 FP
FantasyPros: 6.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.5 FP
Workload: 3.4 FP
Monte Carlo: 3.6 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.1–8.3 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET / Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dylan Sampson	Jake Ferguson
Next 3 weeks	19.5 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	15.1 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	62.8 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	48.6 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	24.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	19.8 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Dylan Sampson	Jake Ferguson
Week 8	6.3 FPvs PITHigher projection	5.5 FPvs ARI
Week 9	7.0 FPvs NOHigher projection	4.9 FPvs IND
Week 10	6.2 FPvs HOUHigher projection	4.7 FPvs SF
Week 11	BYE	4.9 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 12	6.9 FPvs LVHigher projection	4.7 FPvs PHI
Week 13	6.0 FPvs CINHigher projection	4.2 FPvs SEA
Week 14	6.2 FPvs ATLHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	6.3 FPvs NYGHigher projection	4.3 FPvs LAR
Week 16	5.8 FPvs BALHigher projection	4.9 FPvs JAC
Week 17	6.3 FPvs INDHigher projection	4.9 FPvs NYG
Week 18	5.9 FPvs CINHigher projection	5.7 FPvs WAS

Outlook updated Oct 30, 2:17 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · FLEX

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

7.7 FP10.3 FP

Brenton StrangeTE · 48.3% rostered
9.4
DeMario DouglasWR · 45.0% rostered
8.9
Caleb DouglasWR · 28.3% rostered
8.5
Khalil ShakirWR · 60.1% rostered
8.5
Malik WashingtonWR · 37.5% rostered
8.5

What about Dylan Sampson versus these pickups?

RB · Week 8

Dylan Sampson6.3projected FP

Kimani Vidal6.4projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗RB · Week 8

Dylan Sampson6.3projected FP

Tyler Allgeier6.7projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗RB · Week 8

Bam Knight5.2projected FP

Dylan Sampson6.3projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗RB · Week 8

Dylan Sampson6.3projected FP

Samaje Perine7.5projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More FLEX pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

WR · Week 8

Caleb Douglas9.4projected FP

Malik Washington8.2projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗WR · Week 8