Who should I pick up: Antonio Williams or Michael Mayer?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Antonio Williams

If both are available and you need Week 8 points in a FLEX slot, pick up Antonio Williams over Michael Mayer: 7.5 versus 5.8 projected FP in Half-PPR. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 2:23 PM ET · Half-PPR

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Antonio Williams

WR · WAS · vs PHI

Stats & schedule ›

7.5FF projected FP

Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET

15.0%rostered on ESPN+1.26 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Michael Mayer

TE · LV · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

5.8FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

23.8%rostered on ESPN-0.56 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Antonio Williams is the stronger immediate points option. Antonio Williams is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. These players share FLEX eligibility; check whether you also need one of them in a dedicated RB, WR or TE slot. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Antonio Williams

Antonio Williams projects for 7.5 Half-PPR points against PHI this week. His recent scoring average is 5.5 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 15.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 1.26 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.5 FP
ESPN: 6.6 FP
Sleeper: 6.9 FP
FantasyPros: 7.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.3 FP
Workload: 6.4 FP
Monte Carlo: 7.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 1.1–16.8 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer projects for 5.8 Half-PPR points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 6.1 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 23.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.56 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 5.8 FP
ESPN: 5.6 FP
Sleeper: 5.8 FP
FantasyPros: 5.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.7 FP
Workload: 6.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 6.5 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.1–15.0 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET / Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Antonio Williams	Michael Mayer
Next 3 weeks	19.9 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	16.4 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	71.9 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	56.1 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	25.3 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	23.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Antonio Williams	Michael Mayer
Week 8	7.5 FPvs PHIHigher projection	5.8 FPvs NYJ
Week 9	6.1 FPvs LARHigher projection	5.6 FPvs SF
Week 10	6.3 FPvs NYGHigher projection	5.0 FPvs SEA
Week 11	6.5 FPvs CINHigher projection	5.2 FPvs DEN
Week 12	6.9 FPvs ARIHigher projection	5.4 FPvs CLE
Week 13	6.6 FPvs TENHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	6.7 FPvs HOUHigher projection	5.8 FPvs LAC
Week 15	6.3 FPvs ATLHigher projection	5.2 FPvs DEN
Week 16	5.1 FPvs MIN	5.9 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 17	6.7 FPvs JACHigher projection	6.5 FPvs ARI
Week 18	7.3 FPvs DALHigher projection	5.7 FPvs KC

Outlook updated Oct 30, 2:24 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · FLEX

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

7.7 FP10.3 FP

Brenton StrangeTE · 48.3% rostered
9.4
DeMario DouglasWR · 45.0% rostered
8.9
Caleb DouglasWR · 28.3% rostered
8.5
Khalil ShakirWR · 60.1% rostered
8.5
Malik WashingtonWR · 37.5% rostered
8.5

What about Antonio Williams versus these pickups?

WR · Week 8

Antonio Williams7.5projected FP

Chris Godwin Jr.8.1projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗WR · Week 8

Antonio Williams7.5projected FP

Keon Coleman7.4projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗WR · Week 8

Antonio Williams7.5projected FP

Ryan Flournoy8.2projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗WR · Week 8

Antonio Williams7.5projected FP

Keenan Allen8.1projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More FLEX pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

WR · Week 8

Caleb Douglas9.4projected FP

Malik Washington8.2projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗RB · Week 8