Should I drop Emmett Johnson for Tyler Allgeier?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Tyler Allgeier for Emmett Johnson

Tyler Allgeier leads by 3.7 FP this week. He leads by 19.0 FP across the remaining schedule and does not meaningfully trail in the Weeks 15–18 forecast total. The projected outlook supports the swap if your roster can spare Emmett Johnson. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 4, 1:36 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Emmett Johnson

RB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

5.2FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Planning a bid? Emmett Johnson FAAB guide ↗

20.1%rostered on ESPN+8.27 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

8.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? Tyler Allgeier FAAB guide ↗

62.3%rostered on ESPN+16.35 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Emmett Johnson is 20.1% rostered; Tyler Allgeier is 62.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Emmett Johnson

Emmett Johnson projects for 5.2 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 8.1 FP. He is rostered in 20.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 8.27 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 5.2 FP
ESPN: 5.0 FP
Sleeper: 4.8 FP
FantasyPros: 4.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 3.8 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier projects for 8.9 Standard points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 13.6 FP. He is rostered in 62.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 16.35 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.9 FP
ESPN: 7.1 FP
Sleeper: 8.1 FP
FantasyPros: 8.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 4.2 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 4, 1:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Emmett Johnson	Tyler Allgeier
Next 3 weeks	15.1 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	23.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	49.2 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	68.2 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	19.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	29.3 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Emmett Johnson	Tyler Allgeier
Week 9	5.2 FPvs NYJ	8.9 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 10	4.9 FPvs ATL	7.2 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 11	5.1 FPvs ARI	7.2 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 12	5.0 FPvs BUF	7.6 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 13	4.4 FPvs LAR	8.1 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 14	5.0 FPvs CINHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	4.8 FPvs NE	6.9 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 16	4.5 FPvs SF	8.0 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 17	4.9 FPvs LAC	8.0 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 18	5.5 FPvs LV	6.3 FPvs SFHigher projection