Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Pat Freiermuth?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Pat Freiermuth is behind by 0.2 FP this week, behind by 3.7 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 0.8 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team. Dalton Kincaid is questionable; an injury designation alone is not a reason to drop him.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 12:34 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs BAL

Stats & schedule ›

5.8FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

Check current availability

76.7%rostered on ESPN-0.46 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Pat Freiermuth

TE · PIT · vs CLE

Stats & schedule ›

5.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

49.8%rostered on ESPN-1.36 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dalton Kincaid is 76.7% rostered; Pat Freiermuth is 49.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 5.8 Standard points against BAL this week. His recent scoring average is 3.3 FP. He is rostered in 76.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.46 percentage points. His injury designation needs monitoring; it does not by itself justify dropping him. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 5.8 FP
ESPN: 5.4 FP
Sleeper: 6.7 FP
FantasyPros: 6.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.9 FP
Workload: 5.0 FP
Monte Carlo: 4.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.0–11.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth projects for 5.6 Standard points against CLE this week. His recent scoring average is 6.5 FP. He is rostered in 49.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 1.36 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 5.6 FP
ESPN: 5.4 FP
Sleeper: 5.9 FP
FantasyPros: 5.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 4.4 FP
Workload: 4.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 4.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: -0.0–10.0 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dalton Kincaid	Pat Freiermuth
Next 3 weeks	15.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	11.4 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	60.9 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	57.2 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	22.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	23.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dalton Kincaid	Pat Freiermuth
Week 8	5.8 FPvs BALHigher projection	5.6 FPvs CLE
Week 9	4.6 FPvs MINHigher projection	BYE
Week 10	5.4 FPvs NYJ	5.8 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 11	6.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection	5.7 FPvs PHI
Week 12	5.6 FPvs KCHigher projection	5.3 FPvs DEN
Week 13	5.5 FPvs NE	5.7 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 14	5.0 FPvs GB	5.6 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 15	5.8 FPvs CHI	5.9 FPvs BALHigher projection
Week 16	5.2 FPvs DEN	5.7 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 17	6.3 FPvs MIAHigher projection	6.1 FPvs TEN
Week 18	5.4 FPvs NYJ	5.8 FPvs BALHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 30, 12:48 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · TE

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

4.3 FP7.9 FP