Should I drop Sam Darnold for Trevor Lawrence?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Trevor Lawrence is ahead by 0.6 FP this week, ahead by 85.2 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 40.5 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

18.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

30.8%rostered on ESPN+0.14 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAC · vs BAL

Stats & schedule ›

19.2FF projected FP

Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET

91.9%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Sam Darnold is 30.8% rostered; Trevor Lawrence is 91.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold projects for 18.6 Standard points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 30.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.14 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.6 FP
ESPN: 15.7 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 17.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence projects for 19.2 Standard points against BAL this week. His recent scoring average is 23.4 FP. He is rostered in 91.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.2 FP
ESPN: 20.4 FP
Sleeper: 19.1 FP
FantasyPros: 19.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Sam Darnold	Trevor Lawrence
Next 3 weeks	35.1 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	62.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	131.9 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	217.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	51.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	92.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Sam Darnold	Trevor Lawrence
Week 9	18.6 FPvs ARI	19.2 FPvs BALHigher projection
Week 10	16.6 FPvs LV	22.0 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	21.5 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 12	12.7 FPvs SF	22.5 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 13	17.5 FPvs DAL	20.8 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 14	14.8 FPvs NYG	18.8 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 15	13.6 FPvs PHI	20.9 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 16	12.4 FPvs LAR	24.8 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 17	13.8 FPvs CAR	24.7 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 18	12.0 FPvs LAR	21.9 FPvs INDHigher projection