Should I drop Sam Darnold for Jared Goff?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Jared Goff for Sam Darnold

Jared Goff leads by 2.0 FP this week, 45.1 FP across the remaining schedule and does not meaningfully trail in the Weeks 15–18 forecast total. The projected outlook supports the swap if your roster can spare Sam Darnold. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

18.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

30.8%rostered on ESPN+0.14 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs MIA

Stats & schedule ›

20.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

90.0%rostered on ESPN-0.06 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Sam Darnold is 30.8% rostered; Jared Goff is 90.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold projects for 18.6 Standard points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 30.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.14 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.6 FP
ESPN: 15.7 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 17.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Jared Goff

Jared Goff projects for 20.6 Standard points against MIA this week. His recent scoring average is 13.5 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 90.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.06 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 20.6 FP
ESPN: 19.4 FP
Sleeper: 18.2 FP
FantasyPros: 18.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 21.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Sam Darnold	Jared Goff
Next 3 weeks	35.1 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	54.5 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	131.9 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	177.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	51.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	67.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Sam Darnold	Jared Goff
Week 9	18.6 FPvs ARI	20.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 10	16.6 FPvs LV	17.8 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	16.2 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 12	12.7 FPvs SF	18.5 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 13	17.5 FPvs DALHigher projection	17.1 FPvs ATL
Week 14	14.8 FPvs NYG	19.4 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 15	13.6 FPvs PHI	13.8 FPvs MINHigher projection
Week 16	12.4 FPvs LAR	18.9 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 17	13.8 FPvs CAR	18.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 18	12.0 FPvs LAR	16.6 FPvs GBHigher projection