Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Sam Darnold?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford retains a 9.3 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team. Matthew Stafford is questionable; an injury designation alone is not a reason to drop him.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · vs WAS

Stats & schedule ›

19.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Check current availability

91.9%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

18.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

30.8%rostered on ESPN+0.14 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Matthew Stafford is 91.9% rostered; Sam Darnold is 30.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford projects for 19.1 Standard points against WAS this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 91.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. His injury designation needs monitoring; it does not by itself justify dropping him. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.1 FP
ESPN: 16.9 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 18.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 17.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold projects for 18.6 Standard points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 30.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.14 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.6 FP
ESPN: 15.7 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 17.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Matthew Stafford	Sam Darnold
Next 3 weeks	39.2 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	35.1 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	141.2 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	131.9 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	58.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	51.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Matthew Stafford	Sam Darnold
Week 9	19.1 FPvs WASHigher projection	18.6 FPvs ARI
Week 10	20.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection	16.6 FPvs LV
Week 11	BYE	BYE
Week 12	14.8 FPvs GBHigher projection	12.7 FPvs SF
Week 13	14.3 FPvs KC	17.5 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 14	14.7 FPvs SF	14.8 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 15	19.7 FPvs DALHigher projection	13.6 FPvs PHI
Week 16	12.2 FPvs SEA	12.4 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 17	13.8 FPvs TB	13.8 FPvs CAR
Week 18	12.5 FPvs SEAHigher projection	12.0 FPvs LAR