Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Patrick Mahomes II?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Patrick Mahomes II is ahead by 0.2 FP this week, ahead by 46.1 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 16.3 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team. Matthew Stafford is questionable; an injury designation alone is not a reason to drop him.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:34 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · vs WAS

Stats & schedule ›

19.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Check current availability

91.9%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

89.5%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Matthew Stafford is 91.9% rostered; Patrick Mahomes II is 89.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford projects for 19.1 Standard points against WAS this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 91.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. His injury designation needs monitoring; it does not by itself justify dropping him. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.1 FP
ESPN: 16.9 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 18.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 17.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 89.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.3 FP
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 20.8 FP
FantasyPros: 19.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Matthew Stafford	Patrick Mahomes II
Next 3 weeks	39.2 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	141.2 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	187.3 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	58.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	74.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Matthew Stafford	Patrick Mahomes II
Week 9	19.1 FPvs WAS	19.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 10	20.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection	17.3 FPvs ATL
Week 11	BYE	22.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 12	14.8 FPvs GB	19.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 13	14.3 FPvs KC	16.4 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 14	14.7 FPvs SF	18.2 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 15	19.7 FPvs DALHigher projection	18.2 FPvs NE
Week 16	12.2 FPvs SEA	17.5 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 17	13.8 FPvs TB	17.6 FPvs LACHigher projection
Week 18	12.5 FPvs SEA	21.2 FPvs LVHigher projection