Should I drop Matt Gay for Harrison Butker?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Harrison Butker is behind by 0.8 FP this week, ahead by 3.3 FP across the remaining schedule, and behind by 2.9 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 12:34 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Matt Gay

K · LV · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

8.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

55.4%rostered on ESPN+2.96 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Harrison Butker

K · KC · vs DEN

Stats & schedule ›

7.9FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

60.5%rostered on ESPN-1.85 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Matt Gay is 55.4% rostered; Harrison Butker is 60.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Matt Gay

Matt Gay projects for 8.6 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 8.3 FP. He is rostered in 55.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 2.96 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.6 FP
ESPN: 10.0 FP
Sleeper: 8.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.7 FP
Monte Carlo: 9.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.6–18.8 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Harrison Butker

Harrison Butker projects for 7.9 Standard points against DEN this week. His recent scoring average is 7.0 FP. He is rostered in 60.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 1.85 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.9 FP
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.2 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.7 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 2.2–16.5 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Matt Gay	Harrison Butker
Next 3 weeks	27.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	25.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	93.8 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	97.1 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	38.8 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	35.9 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Matt Gay	Harrison Butker
Week 8	8.6 FPvs NYJHigher projection	7.9 FPvs DEN
Week 9	9.8 FPvs SFHigher projection	9.2 FPvs NYJ
Week 10	8.8 FPvs SEAHigher projection	8.7 FPvs ATL
Week 11	9.0 FPvs DEN	9.1 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 12	9.1 FPvs CLEHigher projection	8.9 FPvs BUF
Week 13	BYE	8.6 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 14	9.6 FPvs LACHigher projection	8.8 FPvs CIN
Week 15	9.4 FPvs DENHigher projection	8.8 FPvs NE
Week 16	10.6 FPvs TENHigher projection	9.6 FPvs SF
Week 17	9.7 FPvs ARIHigher projection	8.6 FPvs LAC
Week 18	9.1 FPvs KCHigher projection	8.9 FPvs LV

Outlook updated Oct 30, 12:37 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.0 FP10.3 FP