Should I drop Justin Herbert for Daniel Jones?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert retains a 18.7 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 12:34 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · vs LAR

Stats & schedule ›

12.6FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET

35.1%rostered on ESPN-0.89 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Daniel Jones

QB · IND · vs JAC

Stats & schedule ›

11.9FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

12.2%rostered on ESPN-0.36 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Justin Herbert is 35.1% rostered; Daniel Jones is 12.2% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert projects for 12.6 Standard points against LAR this week. His recent scoring average is 9.5 FP. He is rostered in 35.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.89 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 12.6 FP
ESPN: 10.9 FP
Sleeper: 12.7 FP
FantasyPros: 14.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.3 FP
Workload: 11.0 FP
Monte Carlo: 10.7 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 4.5–17.3 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones projects for 11.9 Standard points against JAC this week. His recent scoring average is 9.5 FP. He is rostered in 12.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.36 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 11.9 FP
ESPN: 11.2 FP
Sleeper: 11.1 FP
FantasyPros: 12.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 10.7 FP
Workload: 10.2 FP
Monte Carlo: 10.2 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 4.3–16.4 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Justin Herbert	Daniel Jones
Next 3 weeks	39.1 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	40.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	143.6 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	124.8 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	50.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	47.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Justin Herbert	Daniel Jones
Week 8	12.6 FPvs LARHigher projection	11.9 FPvs JAC
Week 9	13.5 FPvs HOU	14.4 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 10	13.0 FPvs BAL	14.3 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 11	13.8 FPvs NYJHigher projection	12.2 FPvs HOU
Week 12	13.1 FPvs NEHigher projection	12.6 FPvs NYG
Week 13	11.9 FPvs TBHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	15.6 FPvs LVHigher projection	11.9 FPvs PHI
Week 15	12.4 FPvs SF	12.8 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 16	15.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection	12.2 FPvs CIN
Week 17	11.1 FPvs KCHigher projection	11.0 FPvs CLE
Week 18	11.3 FPvs DEN	11.5 FPvs JACHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 30, 12:46 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · QB

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

14.6 FP18.7 FP