Should I drop Josh Downs for Keenan Allen?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Keenan Allen is ahead by 0.7 FP this week, behind by 0.0 FP across the remaining schedule, and behind by 0.5 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 1:36 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Josh Downs

WR · IND · vs JAC

Stats & schedule ›

9.7FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

63.5%rostered on ESPN-0.38 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Keenan Allen

WR · IND · vs JAC

Stats & schedule ›

10.4FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

41.9%rostered on ESPN+0.15 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Josh Downs is 63.5% rostered; Keenan Allen is 41.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Josh Downs

Josh Downs projects for 9.7 PPR points against JAC this week. His recent scoring average is 6.7 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 63.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.38 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 9.7 FP
ESPN: 8.4 FP
Sleeper: 10.2 FP
FantasyPros: 8.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.1 FP
Workload: 6.8 FP
Monte Carlo: 7.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.7–14.7 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen projects for 10.4 PPR points against JAC this week. His recent scoring average is 10.6 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 41.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.15 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 10.4 FP
ESPN: 9.2 FP
Sleeper: 9.6 FP
FantasyPros: 9.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.3 FP
Workload: 8.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 9.1 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 1.0–18.3 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Josh Downs	Keenan Allen
Next 3 weeks	28.9 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	29.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	91.0 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	91.0 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	35.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	34.9 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Josh Downs	Keenan Allen
Week 8	9.7 FPvs JAC	10.4 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 9	10.4 FPvs DAL	10.7 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 10	8.7 FPvs MIAHigher projection	8.5 FPvs MIA
Week 11	9.2 FPvs HOUHigher projection	9.0 FPvs HOU
Week 12	8.6 FPvs NYGHigher projection	8.5 FPvs NYG
Week 13	BYE	BYE
Week 14	8.9 FPvs PHI	9.0 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 15	9.1 FPvs TENHigher projection	8.9 FPvs TEN
Week 16	8.9 FPvs CINHigher projection	8.7 FPvs CIN
Week 17	8.2 FPvs CLE	8.2 FPvs CLE
Week 18	9.3 FPvs JACHigher projection	9.1 FPvs JAC

Outlook updated Oct 30, 1:50 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · WR

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

9.1 FP12.6 FP