FORTIFIED FANTASY

Week 82026 · Half-PPR · DROP / ADD

Should I drop Josh Downs for Roschon Johnson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Josh Downs

Josh Downs retains a 55.9 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team. They share FLEX eligibility, but this move changes your dedicated-position depth.

Forecast updated Oct 31, 2:05 PM ET

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Josh Downs is 63.2% rostered; Roschon Johnson is 10.7% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Josh Downs

Josh Downs projects for 7.1 Half-PPR points against JAC this week. His recent scoring average is 5.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 63.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.27 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy
7.1 FP
ESPN
6.6 FP
Sleeper
7.9 FP
FantasyPros
6.9 FP
FF median
5.8 FP
Boosted Trees
7.2 FP
Workload
5.5 FP
Monte Carlo
5.8 FP
  • FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 3.2–10.0 FP · middle 80%: 1.0–14.7 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
  • Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
  • Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
  • Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.8–11.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson projects for 3.3 Half-PPR points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 7.1 FP. He is rostered in 10.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.27 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy
3.3 FP
ESPN
6.1 FP
Sleeper
0.9 FP
FantasyPros
2.7 FP
FF median
2.6 FP
Boosted Trees
-2.1 FP
Workload
3.4 FP
Monte Carlo
4.1 FP
  • FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 1.1–4.9 FP · middle 80%: 0.2–7.2 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
  • Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
  • Workload: Experimental · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
  • Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.9–8.0 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 31, 1:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

WindowJosh DownsRoschon Johnson
Next 3 weeks22.9 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected4.8 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule73.6 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye17.6 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–1828.8 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected6.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected
Weekly Drop / Add outlook
WeekJosh DownsRoschon Johnson
Week 87.1 FPvs JACHigher projection3.3 FPvs SEA
Week 98.6 FPvs DALHigher projection1.5 FPvs TB
Week 107.2 FPvs MIAHigher projectionBYE
Week 117.4 FPvs HOUHigher projection1.8 FPvs NO
Week 127.0 FPvs NYGHigher projection1.6 FPvs DET
Week 13BYE1.4 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 147.3 FPvs PHIHigher projection1.7 FPvs MIA
Week 157.4 FPvs TENHigher projection1.7 FPvs BUF
Week 167.3 FPvs CINHigher projection1.7 FPvs GB
Week 176.7 FPvs CLEHigher projection1.6 FPvs DET
Week 187.5 FPvs JACHigher projection1.4 FPvs MIN

Outlook updated Oct 31, 2:17 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · FLEX

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

1.2 FP18.5 FP
  1. Caleb DouglasWR · 28.7% rostered
    9.3
  2. Jonah ColemanRB · 46.1% rostered
    8.8
  3. DeMario DouglasWR · 47.5% rostered
    8.7
  4. Brenton StrangeTE · 49.0% rostered
    8.6
  5. Keenan AllenWR · 41.8% rostered
    8.4
FEATURED · YOUR NEXT MOVE

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YOUR PICKUP MAP EXAMPLE
Example free-agent list with highlighted pickup recommendations
#1 Week · #1 ROS · #1 Playoffs
#3 Playoffs
#3 Week
● Week● ROS● PlayoffsFortifiedFantasy.com

Other moves involving Josh Downs

DROP → ADD · WR
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Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · FLEX
Josh Downs7.1projected FP
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Josh Downs7.1projected FP
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Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · FLEX
Josh Downs7.1projected FP
Brenton Strange8.6projected FP
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Chris Godwin Jr.8.4projected FP
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Josh Downs7.1projected FP
Keenan Allen8.4projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · WR
Josh Downs7.1projected FP
Malik Washington8.3projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗DROP → ADD · WR
Josh Downs7.1projected FP
Khalil Shakir8.1projected FP
Should I make the move? ↗

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