Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Courtland Sutton?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins retains a 6.1 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team. They share FLEX eligibility, but this move changes your dedicated-position depth.

Forecast updated Oct 31, 2:05 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

7.9FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

76.9%rostered on ESPN+0.01 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Courtland Sutton

WR · DEN · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

6.5FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

61.8%rostered on ESPN-0.22 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

J.K. Dobbins is 76.9% rostered; Courtland Sutton is 61.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins projects for 7.9 Half-PPR points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 11.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 76.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.01 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.9 FP
ESPN: 8.7 FP
Sleeper: 7.7 FP
FantasyPros: 7.3 FP
FF median: 6.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.5 FP
Workload: 7.1 FP
Monte Carlo: 7.3 FP

FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 4.0–11.0 FP · middle 80%: 2.2–14.9 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.1–13.8 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton projects for 6.5 Half-PPR points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 5.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 61.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.22 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 6.5 FP
ESPN: 8.0 FP
Sleeper: 6.3 FP
FantasyPros: 7.4 FP
FF median: 5.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.4 FP
Workload: 5.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 6.0 FP

FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 2.8–9.1 FP · middle 80%: 1.0–13.2 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 0.9–12.1 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 31, 1:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	J.K. Dobbins	Courtland Sutton
Next 3 weeks	16.3 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	12.7 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	78.3 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	72.2 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	31.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	30.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	J.K. Dobbins	Courtland Sutton
Week 8	7.9 FPvs KCHigher projection	6.5 FPvs KC
Week 9	8.4 FPvs CARHigher projection	6.2 FPvs CAR
Week 10	BYE	BYE
Week 11	8.6 FPvs LVHigher projection	7.7 FPvs LV
Week 12	6.7 FPvs PIT	7.1 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 13	8.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection	7.5 FPvs MIA
Week 14	7.2 FPvs NYJ	7.2 FPvs NYJ
Week 15	8.3 FPvs LVHigher projection	7.6 FPvs LV
Week 16	8.1 FPvs BUF	8.1 FPvs BUF
Week 17	7.1 FPvs NEHigher projection	7.0 FPvs NE
Week 18	7.5 FPvs LACHigher projection	7.3 FPvs LAC