
Should I start Dalton Schultz or Elijah Mitchell? (PPR Week 12 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Dalton Schultz
+4.6 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Dalton Schultz over Elijah Mitchell for Week 12 PPR: 8.0 projected points versus 3.5.
- Dalton Schultz: 7.8 FP recent scoring average.
- Elijah Mitchell: 6.6 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Elijah Mitchell
RB ยท PHIStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Dalton Schultz
- FF projection
- 8.0 FP -0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 8.2 FP
- Sleeper
- 8.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 6.8 FP
Dalton Schultz faces BAL in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 7.8 fantasy points.
Elijah Mitchell
- FF projection
- 3.5 FP -2.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 2.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 1.4 FP
Elijah Mitchell faces DAL in Week 12. Recent scoring average: 6.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs CHIThu 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.2Sleeper 27.3FantasyPros 22.124.9Expected FP - 2
Bucky IrvingRB ยท TB vs CARMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.6Sleeper 19.4FantasyPros 19.122.3Expected FP - 3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.9Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 20.822.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 12 decisions
Dalton Schultz8.0projected FP
Darren Waller9.3projected FP
Dalton Schultz8.0projected FP
Hunter Henry7.9projected FP
Dalton Schultz8.0projected FP
Darnell Washington8.3projected FP
Dalton Schultz8.0projected FP
AJ Barner7.6projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs24.9projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.9projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.9projected FP
Bucky Irving22.3projected FP
Bucky Irving22.3projected FP
Christian McCaffrey18.8projected FP
Christian McCaffrey18.8projected FP
Kyren Williams18.5projected FP
Kyren Williams18.5projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.0projected FP
Bijan Robinson18.0projected FP
Javonte Williams17.9projected FP