
Should I start Ted Hurst III or Ty Johnson this week? Week 8 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ted Hurst III
Week 8 ยท Standard
Ted Hurst III receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -3.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

3.6FF projected
โ -1.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Ty Johnson
RB ยท BUFStats & schedule โบ3.7FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Ted Hurst III
FF3.6 FP
Boosted Trees5.2 FP
Workload3.3 FP
Monte Carlo3.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Emeka Egbuka; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Ty Johnson
FF3.7 FP
Boosted Trees3.3 FP
Workload4.4 FP
Monte Carlo4.4 FP
- Recent scoring average: 5.0 FP.
- The BAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 1.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include DJ Moore; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 carries per game.
Ted Hurst III
Fortified3.6
ESPN4.8
Sleeper3.5
Ted Hurst III faces ATL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 1.3 fantasy points.
Ty Johnson
Fortified3.7
ESPN3.8
Sleeper3.8
Ty Johnson faces BAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 5.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Your next decision
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Scoring & lineup notes
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