THE ALTERNATIVE
Kyle Pitts Sr.
TE ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ6.4FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Kyle Pitts Sr. or Pat Freiermuth this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Pat Freiermuth
Week 7 ยท Standard
Pat Freiermuth receives the better positional matchup adjustment (2.5% versus -10%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs SFRESEARCH PICK
Pat Freiermuth
TE ยท PITStats & schedule โบ6.8FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Kyle Pitts Sr.
FF6.4 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workload5.8 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 11.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 11.0 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Pat Freiermuth
FF6.8 FP
Boosted Trees5.4 FP
Workload5.3 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.4 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.6 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Fortified6.4
ESPN6.0
Sleeper6.0
FantasyProsโ
Kyle Pitts Sr. faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Pat Freiermuth
Fortified6.8
ESPN6.7
Sleeper6.1
FantasyProsโ
Pat Freiermuth faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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