RESEARCH PICK
Dallas Goedert
TE ยท PHIStats & schedule โบ7.0FF projected
โ +0.7 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Pat Freiermuth this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Dallas Goedert
Week 7 ยท Standard
Dallas Goedert averaged 6.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 5.0 for Pat Freiermuth. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DALTHE ALTERNATIVE
Pat Freiermuth
TE ยท PITStats & schedule โบ6.8FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Dallas Goedert
FF7.0 FP
Boosted Trees5.9 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 5.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 7.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Pat Freiermuth
FF6.8 FP
Boosted Trees5.4 FP
Workload5.3 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.4 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.6 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Dallas Goedert
Fortified7.0
ESPN6.3
Sleeper7.8
FantasyProsโ
Dallas Goedert faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.0 fantasy points.
Pat Freiermuth
Fortified6.8
ESPN6.7
Sleeper6.1
FantasyProsโ
Pat Freiermuth faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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