RESEARCH PICK
Ashton Jeanty
RB ยท LVStats & schedule โบ13.1FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Bucky Irving this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ashton Jeanty
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Ashton Jeanty after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs LARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Bucky Irving
RB ยท TBStats & schedule โบ13.5FF projected
โ +2.0 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Ashton Jeanty
FF13.1 FP
Boosted Trees12.1 FP
Workload12.7 FP
Monte Carlo14.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 14.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 carries per game.
Bucky Irving
FF13.5 FP
Boosted Trees11.3 FP
Workload11.9 FP
Monte Carlo11.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.5 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.2 targets and 15.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 18.7 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Ashton Jeanty
Fortified13.1
ESPN13.3
Sleeper12.2
FantasyProsโ
Ashton Jeanty faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.7 fantasy points.
Bucky Irving
Fortified13.5
ESPN11.5
Sleeper13.7
FantasyProsโ
Bucky Irving faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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