RESEARCH PICK
MIA D/ST
DST ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ5.0FF projected
โ -0.3 vs ESPN
at NYJSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start MIA D/ST or TB D/ST this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start MIA D/ST
Week 7 ยท PPR
MIA D/ST receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -6.25%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at NYJTHE ALTERNATIVE
TB D/ST
DST ยท TBStats & schedule โบ5.2FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
MIA D/ST
FF5.0 FP
Boosted Trees7.6 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo5.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
TB D/ST
FF5.2 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo5.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.7 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
Projection breakdown
MIA D/ST
Fortified5.0
ESPN5.3
Sleeper5.4
FantasyProsโ
MIA D/ST faces NYJ in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points.
TB D/ST
Fortified5.2
ESPN5.6
Sleeper5.5
FantasyProsโ
TB D/ST faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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